6

Powerized

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 87

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Turf Paradise 24/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/04/2024 · OR 73 par24/04C7OR 73C6 @ Turf Paradise 30/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/12/2024 · OR 95 parC6 @ Turf Paradise 22/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/01/2025 · OR 91 par22/01C6OR 91C6 @ Turf Paradise 05/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 94 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/02/2025 · OR 94 parC6 @ Turf Paradise 05/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 95 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/03/2025 · OR 95 par5/03C6OR 95C6 @ Turf Paradise 09/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 97 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/04/2025 · OR 97 parC6 @ Turf Paradise 21/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 96 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/01/2026 · OR 96 par21/01C6OR 96C5 @ Turf Paradise 18/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 95 · 5f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/03/2026 · OR 95 parC6 @ Turf Paradise 16/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 91 par16/04C6OR 91projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-16Turf Paradise?1st-1th+2
2026-03-18Turf Paradise?5th2nd+3
2026-01-21Turf Paradise?8th6th+2
2025-04-09Turf Paradise?7th5th+2
2025-03-05Turf Paradise?1st-1th+2
2025-02-05Turf Paradise?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/045/0221/0116/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20242nd5/174%89%+0.15
30/12/20246th8/158%17%-0.41
22/01/20254th16/116%67%+0.51
05/02/20252nd7/163%88%+0.24
05/03/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
09/04/20257th6/168%14%-0.54
21/01/20268th14/126%0%-0.26
18/03/20265th7/282%20%-0.62
16/04/20261st4/179%100%+0.21