
Powerized
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 87
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-03-18 | Turf Paradise | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-01-21 | Turf Paradise | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-04-09 | Turf Paradise | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-03-05 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-02-05 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 30/12/2024 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 22/01/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 05/02/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 05/03/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/04/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 21/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 18/03/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |