Sawyer Fox
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 74
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-01-11 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 19/12/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 11/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |