Spoke
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 90
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 10/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 28/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |