9

Eltinge
3yo Filly · 8-6
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Itoba Stallion Season Fillies Handicap · 1m 70y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 01/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 73% | -0.19 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |