1

Kaboom
3yo Filly · 8-8
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Itoba Stallion Season Fillies Handicap · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength92%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |