5
Lexie's Lunar Rock
3yo Filly · 8-6
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Itoba Stallion Season Fillies Handicap · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -25.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |