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Party In The Club

3yo Filly · 8-6

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Itoba Stallion Season Fillies Handicap · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 72 · 5f110y Slo 120 · beat its mark10/11/2025 · OR 72 par10/11C6OR 72C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 68 · 5f110y 121 · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 68 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 6f 121 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 70 par29/04C6OR 70C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 67 · 5f110y 121 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 67 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 73 · 1m110y Slo 120 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 73 par10/06C6OR 73C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m Gd 120 · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 72 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 77 · 1m 118 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 77 par29/07C5OR 77C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 77 · 1m110y 118 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 77 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m70y 11811/09C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-08-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-07-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-05-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1126/0529/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/11/20252nd3/1098%83%-0.15
07/04/20262nd5/287%90%+0.03
29/04/20263rd2/799%60%-0.39
26/05/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
10/06/20261st1/499%100%+0.01
06/07/20267th9/488%14%-0.74
29/07/20263rd5/696%75%-0.21
13/08/20263rd4/797%60%-0.37
11/09/20266th20/10%38%+0.38