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7

Spirited Justice

3yo Filly · 8-10

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Itoba Stallion Season Fillies Handicap · 1m 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 31/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 70 · 5f Slo 120 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 70 par31/07C6OR 70C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 112 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 82 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 73 · 6f 122 · beat its mark01/10/2025 · OR 73 par1/10C5OR 73C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 78 · 6f 122 · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 78 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 84 · 6f 115 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 84 par11/05C5OR 84C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Slo 122C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f Fas 12411/07C?C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 124C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m70y 12411/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th10th0
2026-07-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-05-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2025-10-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0725/1011/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%

Delivery trend -5.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
10/09/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
01/10/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
25/10/20252nd2/598%90%-0.08
11/05/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01
10/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
11/07/20266th9/488%44%-0.44
22/08/202610th10/147%18%-0.29
11/09/20265th9/276%50%-0.26