6
Swiss Meringue
3yo Filly · 8-8
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Itoba Stallion Season Fillies Handicap · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 06/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |