8
Wosie's Promise
3yo Filly · 8-6
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Itoba Stallion Season Fillies Handicap · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -18.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 16/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |