10
Cheater
3yo Gelding · 8-6
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Itoba Stallion Season Handicap · 1m 70y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |