12
Gunzo
3yo Gelding · 8-6
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Itoba Stallion Season Handicap · 1m 70y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |