IvyArcIvyArc
6

Mr Sledge Hammer

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Itoba Stallion Season Handicap · 1m 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA65 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 65 · 1m70y 122 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 65 par13/1165OR 65C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 68 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 68 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 70 · 1m Fas 118 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 70 par29/04C5OR 70C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 71 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 71 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Slo 12210/06C?C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 80 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 73 · 1m110y 118 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 73 par9/07C5OR 73C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 120C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m 118 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 73 par8/09C5OR 73projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-07-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2026-05-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1118/059/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength16%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/11/20253rd9/276%82%+0.06
07/04/20264th6/492%25%-0.67
29/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
18/05/20266th9/276%29%-0.48
10/06/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
30/06/20267th14/126%0%-0.26
09/07/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
22/08/20264th50/10%73%+0.73
08/09/20267th12/137%25%-0.12