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9

Q's Topnotch

3yo Gelding · 8-10

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Itoba Stallion Season Handicap · 1m 70y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f Fas 1204/07C6C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 77 · 6f 117 · beat its mark29/07/2025 · OR 77 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 66 · 6f 122 · beat its mark01/10/2025 · OR 66 par1/10C5OR 66C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 69 · 6f 122 · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 69 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Slo 12210/06C?C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f 124C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 12422/08C5C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m70y 12411/09C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-07-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0
2025-10-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2025-10-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0725/1022/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength56%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
29/07/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
01/10/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
25/10/20255th6/492%56%-0.37
10/06/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
11/07/20264th33/10%40%+0.40
22/08/20263rd20/10%82%+0.82
11/09/20269th9/153%20%-0.33