7
Quaint
3yo Gelding · 8-6
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Itoba Stallion Season Handicap · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength19%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 10th | 11/4 | 86% | 10% | -0.76 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 44% | -0.41 |