1
Speight Knight
3yo Gelding · 8-6
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Itoba Stallion Season Handicap · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 2/13 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |