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3

Turbo Duck

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Itoba Stallion Season Handicap · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y 1206/10C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 45 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 45 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 41 · 1m 117 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 41 par13/11C6OR 41C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 45 · 6f 122 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 45 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m Slo 120 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 50 par25/05C6OR 50C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 58 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 58 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 62 · 1m110y 120 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 62 par9/07C6OR 62C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 69 · 1m110y Gd 118 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 69 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m 120 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 72 par8/09C5OR 72projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-08-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-07-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-06-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-05-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-05-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/101/059/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/20255th33/10%56%+0.56
25/10/202510th25/10%10%+0.10
13/11/20253rd50/10%78%+0.78
01/05/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
25/05/20264th16/116%67%+0.51
24/06/20266th10/147%55%+0.07
09/07/20261st1/499%100%+0.01
11/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
08/09/20266th9/153%38%-0.15