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10

Hoosier Promise

4yo Filly · 8-12

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Piedi Bianchi Handicap · 1m 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 82 par22/10C6OR 82C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 81 · 6f 119 · below its mark11/11/2025 · OR 81 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 76 · 6f Slo 122 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 76 par5/05C5OR 76C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 74 · 1m70y Fas 122 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 74 par18/06C5OR 74C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m70y Fas 121 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 78 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 83 · 1m110y 119 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 83 par11/08C5OR 83C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m110y Gd 124C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 87 · 1m 119 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 87 par10/09C5OR 87projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-08-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-08-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-07-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-05-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1028/0511/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20253rd12/137%60%+0.23
11/11/20256th10/147%17%-0.31
05/05/20263rd5/174%60%-0.14
28/05/20265th11/271%20%-0.51
18/06/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
15/07/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
11/08/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
26/08/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
10/09/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28