7
Itzforever
6yo Mare · 8-12
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Piedi Bianchi Handicap · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 06/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 10/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 01/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 29/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |