4
Lil Gin N Class
5yo Mare · 8-12
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Piedi Bianchi Handicap · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 20/08/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 15/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 01/10/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 29/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |