6
Louder Than Words
7yo Mare · 9-0
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Piedi Bianchi Handicap · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 15/05/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/06/2025 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 43% | -0.49 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 01/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |