8
Pay Me Later
4yo Filly · 8-10
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Piedi Bianchi Handicap · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 26/06/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 10/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/08/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |