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3

Screamin Nina

4yo Filly · 9-0

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Piedi Bianchi Handicap · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 68 · 1m110y 119 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 68 par13/11C8OR 68C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 57 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 57 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 55 · 1m70y Fas 122 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 55 par14/05C8OR 55C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 63 · 1m70y Fas 122 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 63 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 68 · 1m70y Fas 124 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 68 par23/06C5OR 68C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 72 · 1m Gd 124 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 72 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fm 122 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 76 par30/07C5OR 76C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 74 · 1m110y Slo 121 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 74 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m110y 12411/09C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-08-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-07-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-06-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-06-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/116/0630/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength80%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/11/20258th25/10%13%+0.13
02/05/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
14/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
06/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
23/06/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10
06/07/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02
30/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
20/08/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
11/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18