5
Temple Paynter
4yo Filly · 9-0
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Piedi Bianchi Handicap · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 11/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 06/05/2026 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 0% | -0.95 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |