2
Watcher
5yo Mare · 8-12
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Piedi Bianchi Handicap · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 26/06/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 17/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 24/09/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 06/05/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |