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10

Birkett Bank

2yo Filly · 8-10

Kempton · Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

16/1, encouraging second of 10 in novice at Wolverhampton (6f) on debut 15 days ago, with reopposing Marhaba Ya Tayib close up in fourth. Open to progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 15/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12515/095
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Wolverhampton52nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20262nd16/116%89%+0.73