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8

Quai Louis

2yo Colt · 8-12

Kempton · Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

25/1, shaped much better than the bare result when sixth of 9 in novice at Leicester (7f, good) on debut 22 days ago, unable to sustain effort after making smooth headway into contention from the rear. Has the potential for significant improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Leicester 08/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS8/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Leicester36th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength77%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/20266th25/10%38%+0.38