1

Real Bullet

2yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 92

Kempton · Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

95%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Speedily-bred son of Mehmas who has looked a useful prospect when winning a pair of 6f Windsor novices this summer. Taken to extend his unbeaten record to 3 following a gelding operation.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f12y Goo 13313/0745 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 6f12y GF 13410/085projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Windsor51st2nd−1
2026-07-13Windsor41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0710/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -35.8% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
10/08/20261st6/594%100%+0.06