9

Sol Dorado

2yo Gelding · 8-12

Kempton · Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ardad gelding who offered more than on his debut when running on for a never-nearer fifth (Birkett Bank second, Marhaba Ya Tayib fourth) at Wolverhampton (6f) 15 days ago. Open to further improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 26/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f110y GF 13326/0845 @ Wolverhampton 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12715/095projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Wolverhampton55th6th−1
2026-08-26Newbury49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength63%

Delivery trend +18.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20269th300/10%11%+0.11
15/09/20265th14/126%56%+0.29