Bullrider

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 73

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼2

Strength81%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C3.5

Today: 5

Class gap: +1.5

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-17	Southwell	4	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2026-08-06	Southwell	4	5th	4th	+1	6.2
2026-07-27	Southwell	2	3rd	-1th	+3	5.0
2026-07-01	Epsom Downs	4	2nd	1st	+1	9.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -16.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
01/07/2026	2nd	10/3	82%	86%	+0.03
27/07/2026	3rd	3/1	84%	82%	-0.02
06/08/2026	5th	11/4	86%	43%	-0.43
17/09/2026	6th	85/40	89%	50%	-0.39