8
Gold Reef City
2yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 69
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength71%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Nottingham | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Salisbury | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 12-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength2%
Delivery trend +15.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 43% | -0.12 |