Sequel Star

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 68

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery · 7f

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.5

Today: 5

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-07	Windsor	5	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-08-14	Epsom Downs	5	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-07-17	Wolverhampton	4	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-06-23	Newbury	4	4th	3rd	+1	7.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength14%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
23/06/2026	4th	6/1	68%	67%	-0.02
17/07/2026	3rd	10/3	82%	71%	-0.11
14/08/2026	4th	7/2	82%	25%	-0.57
07/09/2026	4th	10/3	82%	77%	-0.06