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4

Shemiyla Star

2yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 72

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form when reaching the frame in 3 of his 4 starts in maidens but he will need to find some improvement to overcome this opening mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength82%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS2/0644 @ Epsom Downs 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS1/0742 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 71 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 71 par28/072OR 714 @ Lingfield 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 71 · 7f1y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 71 par22/084OR 71projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Lingfield43rd2nd+1
2026-07-28Goodwood212th8th+3
2026-07-01Epsom Downs44th3rd+1
2026-06-02Pontefract42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/061/0728/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength48%

Delivery trend -11.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/06/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57
01/07/20264th9/488%57%-0.31
28/07/202612th66/10%21%+0.21
22/08/20263rd4/179%82%+0.03