10
True Charm
2yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 68
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength52%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Chester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Nottingham | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 03/06/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 18% | -0.61 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |