3
Encounter
2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 81
Kempton · Bet 20 Pound Get 20 Pound With Unibet Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Sandown | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Lingfield | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -18.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 44% | -0.46 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |