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10

Amber Honey

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 54

Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Struck at the fourth time of asking for new yard when seeing off 7 rivals at Lingfield (1m, all-weather) 18 days ago. Should remain competitive off 3 lb higher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 10/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m1y Std 131 · beat its mark10/01/2026 · OR 60 par10/016OR 606 @ Southwell 23/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m13y Std 135 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Wolverhampton 27/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 58 · 1m142y Std 133 · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 58 par27/026OR 586 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 58 · 1m142y Std 133 · below its mark17/03/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 57 · 1m75y Goo 127 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 57 par8/046OR 576 @ Lingfield 01/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 56 · 1m1y Std 126 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Brighton 21/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 55 · 1m3f198y GF 135 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 55 par21/066OR 556 @ Lingfield 04/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 53 · 1m1f GF 135 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Lingfield 12/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 51 · 1m1y Std 129 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 51 par12/096OR 51projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Lingfield61st1st0
2026-08-04Lingfield64th4th0
2026-06-21Brighton69th9th0
2026-06-01Lingfield69th9th0
2026-04-08Nottingham65th5th0
2026-03-17Wolverhampton610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0117/0321/0612/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/01/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
23/01/20267th12/137%40%+0.03
27/02/20263rd11/142%80%+0.38
17/03/202610th15/261%10%-0.51
08/04/20265th18/15%71%+0.66
01/06/20269th12/137%20%-0.17
21/06/20269th18/15%0%-0.05
04/08/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
12/09/20261st15/261%100%+0.39