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4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 54
Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Windsor | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kempton | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 08/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 27/02/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 01/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |