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11

Exquisite Skye

3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 57

Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who is significantly back down in trip having failed to stay 11.5f at Windsor last time but her mark remains a stiff one.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength70%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Epsom Downs 10/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f3y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/0745 @ Lingfield 09/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f135y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/0855 @ Wolverhampton 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m142y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/1055 @ Lingfield 03/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 68 · 1m1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/12/2025 · OR 68 par3/125OR 683 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 65 · 1m4f51y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 65 par27/043OR 655 @ Goodwood 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 62 · 1m1f197y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 62 par12/065OR 626 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 60 · 1m3f99y Sft 135 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 60 par29/086OR 60projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Windsor611th11th0
2026-06-12Goodwood54th3rd+1
2026-04-27Wolverhampton37th3rd+3
2025-12-03Lingfield510th9th+1
2025-10-25Wolverhampton53rd2nd+1
2025-08-09Lingfield53rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/073/1229/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength12%

Delivery trend -7.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20253rd22/10%67%+0.67
09/08/20253rd14/126%67%+0.40
25/10/20253rd28/10%83%+0.83
03/12/202510th18/15%18%+0.13
27/04/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
12/06/20264th66/10%50%+0.50
29/08/202611th33/10%17%+0.17