Melodical
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 56
Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Newmarket | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-16 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-08-14 | Chepstow | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |