3

Open To Offers

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 60

Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 3 qualifying runs (all-weather) but handicaps provide him with a more realistic chance. There are quite a few winners in his family and he's worth a second look in the betting.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength70%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 05/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS5/1144 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m1y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS27/0844 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/094projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton49th7th+2
2026-08-27Lingfield47th5th+2
2025-11-05Kempton48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1127/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength18%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/20258th200/10%13%+0.13
27/08/20267th100/10%0%0.00
09/09/20269th200/10%20%+0.20