1

Squiffy

4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 60

Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved to open her account at the second time of asking at Wolverhampton (7f) last December. Matched that form when fourth there on handicap debut back in May but well held switched to turf at Windsor since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 28/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m13y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS28/1155 @ Wolverhampton 13/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 7f36y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/1255 @ Wolverhampton 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 62 · 1m142y Std 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 62 par11/055OR 625 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m31y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 61 par14/095OR 61projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor511th10th+1
2026-05-11Wolverhampton54th3rd+1
2025-12-13Wolverhampton51st0th+1
2025-11-28Southwell54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1113/1211/0514/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 13-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -16.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20254th50/10%57%+0.57
13/12/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
11/05/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
14/09/202611th66/10%9%+0.09