5
Chalk Mountain
6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 80
Kempton · Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Handicap · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ascot | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 62% | -0.07 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 12/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 23/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |