6
Le Samourai
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 83
Kempton · Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Handicap · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | York | 2 | 18th | 16th | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +17.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/2026 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 21/08/2026 | 18th | 22/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |