Loblolly
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 81
Kempton · Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sandown | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Sandown | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 25/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 05/04/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |