1
Shimmy Jimmy
4yo Colt · 9-12 · OR 84
Kempton · Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Handicap · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-18 | Dundalk | BHA80 | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2024-09-07 | Navan | BHA80 | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2024-08-17 | Curragh | BHA82 | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2024-07-20 | Curragh | BHA82 | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2024-07-13 | Navan | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2024-06-02 | Listowel | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2024 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 02/06/2024 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 90% | +0.48 |
| 13/07/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/07/2024 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |
| 17/08/2024 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 07/09/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 18/10/2024 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |