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Silent City

4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 82

Kempton · Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Handicap · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twice a winner over this trip last year but didn't get home when sixth of 7 in a handicap at Windsor over 1¼m in July. Returns from 79 days off back at her ideal trip and she could be a big player if taking to all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Goodwood 06/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m Goo 1266/0645 @ Windsor 23/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m31y GF 1275 @ Hamilton 17/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m68y Goo 13217/0753 @ Lingfield 12/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 80 · 1m1f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2025 · OR 80 par4 @ Newmarket 20/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 79 · 1m Gd 130 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 79 par20/094OR 793 @ Newmarket 22/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 80 · 1m Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 80 par4 @ Newmarket 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 82 · 1m Goo 144 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 82 par25/064OR 824 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 82 · 1m2f Goo 137 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 82 par13/074OR 82projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Windsor46th6th0
2026-06-25Newmarket43rd3rd0
2025-10-22Newmarket32nd1st+1
2025-09-20Newmarket41st1st0
2025-08-12Lingfield33rd2nd+1
2025-07-17Hamilton52nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0612/0825/0613/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20254th4/179%63%-0.16
23/06/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
17/07/20252nd1/195%83%-0.11
12/08/20253rd15/890%33%-0.57
20/09/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
22/10/20252nd10/382%86%+0.03
25/06/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27
13/07/20266th13/891%17%-0.75