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Studious

4yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 77

Kempton · Industry Leading In-Play Markets At Unibet Handicap · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended run of placed efforts when scoring at Southwell over this trip in April. Disappointed in cheekpieces both starts since, but latest outing came after 5 months off so entitled to come on for it and Billy Loughnane is back in the saddle here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 24/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 68 · 1m5y Std 134 · beat its mark24/11/2025 · OR 68 par24/115OR 685 @ Kempton 01/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 68 · 1m Sta 141 · beat its mark01/12/2025 · OR 68 par5 @ Wolverhampton 02/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 75 · 1m142y Std 137 · beat its mark02/01/2026 · OR 75 par2/015OR 755 @ Southwell 05/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 73 · 1m13y Std 135 · beat its mark05/02/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Southwell 24/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 75 · 1m13y Std 135 · beat its mark24/02/2026 · OR 75 par24/025OR 754 @ Chelmsford City 12/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 75 · 1m Std 130 · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 75 par2 @ Southwell 07/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 74 · 1m13y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 74 par7/042OR 744 @ Lingfield 12/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m1y Std 133 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Wolverhampton 07/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 78 · 1m142y Std 128 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 78 par7/094OR 78projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Wolverhampton411th11th0
2026-05-12Lingfield45th5th0
2026-04-07Southwell21st-1th+2
2026-03-12Chelmsford City43rd3rd0
2026-02-24Southwell53rd4th−1
2026-02-05Southwell52nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/115/027/047/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength6%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/11/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
01/12/20254th7/282%73%-0.09
02/01/20263rd7/163%71%+0.08
05/02/20262nd9/276%90%+0.14
24/02/20263rd9/276%80%+0.04
12/03/20263rd6/168%67%-0.02
07/04/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
12/05/20265th10/147%50%+0.03
07/09/202611th33/10%9%+0.09