Montassib
8yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 105
Kempton · ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Doncaster | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Ascot | 1 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Newbury | 1 | 3rd | 1st | +1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Ascot | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2024 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 62% | +0.06 |
| 29/06/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/09/2024 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 19/10/2024 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 79% | +0.16 |
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 73% | -0.13 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |