6

Wise Approach
3yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 112
Kempton · ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength47%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Doncaster | 1 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 22th | 20th | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Ascot | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Newmarket | 1 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength87%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.45 |
| 18/07/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 19/06/2026 | 22nd | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |