6

Wise Approach

3yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 112

Kempton · ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 3 times in 2025, including Group 1 Middle Park. Made a disappointing start to current season but better signs last twice, including 2½ lengths fourth of 8 to More Thunder in Group 2 Park Stakes at Doncaster (7f) in first-time cheekpieces (retained) 18 days ago. Drop back in trip should suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 5f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS19/0611 @ Newbury 18/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 101 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2025 · OR 101 parC0 @ Deauville 24/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 109 · 5f212y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 109 par24/08C?OR 1091 @ Newmarket 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 114 · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 114 par1 @ Ascot 01/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 115 · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 115 par1/051OR 1151 @ Newbury 16/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 115 · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 115 par1 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 22nd of 22 · OR 113 · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 113 par19/061OR 113C0 @ Deauville 09/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 111 · 6f101y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 111 par1 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 110 · 7f6y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 110 par12/091OR 110projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Doncaster14th2nd+2
2026-08-09Deauville?7th5th+2
2026-06-19Royal Ascot122th20th+2
2026-05-16Newbury14th3rd+1
2026-05-01Ascot15th3rd+1
2025-09-27Newmarket11st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0627/0919/0612/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength87%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20252nd10/147%93%+0.45
18/07/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
24/08/20253rd15/261%60%-0.01
27/09/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
01/05/20265th2/189%43%-0.47
16/05/20264th5/287%67%-0.20
19/06/202622nd14/126%0%-0.26
09/08/20267th22/10%40%+0.40
12/09/20264th12/137%57%+0.20