Fantasy Believer
9yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 87
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 1m 2f 219y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Ascot | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ascot | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-11 | York | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Doncaster | 2 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-09-28 | Epsom Downs | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 28/08/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/09/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 25/10/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/07/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 52% | +0.52 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |